Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.046310 0.050471 0.054698 0.059305 0.064179 0.069174 0.074673
2024-12-15 0.038732 0.044698 0.050994 0.058104 0.065885 0.074114 0.083447
2024-12-22 0.034777 0.042208 0.050312 0.059743 0.070353 0.081858 0.095216
2024-12-29 0.031105 0.039581 0.049112 0.060508 0.073646 0.088205 0.105446
2025-01-05 0.028054 0.037321 0.048040 0.061174 0.076647 0.094122 0.115168
2025-01-12 0.024881 0.034598 0.046156 0.060654 0.078089 0.098127 0.122637
2025-01-19 0.022887 0.033114 0.045583 0.061545 0.081079 0.103864 0.132095
2025-01-26 0.020525 0.030955 0.043997 0.061043 0.082269 0.107389 0.138904
2025-02-02 0.018814 0.029487 0.043147 0.061336 0.084339 0.111907 0.146872
2025-02-09 0.017659 0.028656 0.043028 0.062479 0.087410 0.117617 0.156283
2025-02-16 0.017170 0.028684 0.043995 0.064996 0.092206 0.125462 0.168344
2025-02-23 0.014994 0.026180 0.041447 0.062804 0.090918 0.125714 0.171055
2025-03-02 0.013505 0.024585 0.040076 0.062144 0.091609 0.128491 0.176997
2025-03-09 0.012246 0.023235 0.038965 0.061767 0.092628 0.131666 0.183453
2025-03-16 0.011886 0.023228 0.039737 0.063960 0.097051 0.139213 0.195475
2025-03-23 0.011224 0.022695 0.039713 0.065028 0.099972 0.144855 0.205134
2025-03-30 0.010555 0.022096 0.039553 0.065874 0.102584 0.150105 0.214331
2025-04-06 0.009597 0.020944 0.038504 0.065406 0.103372 0.152962 0.220465
2025-04-13 0.009081 0.020495 0.038484 0.066388 0.106137 0.158415 0.229971
2025-04-20 0.008256 0.019440 0.037474 0.065882 0.106807 0.161084 0.235872
2025-04-27 0.007683 0.018787 0.037049 0.066204 0.108610 0.165254 0.243738
2025-05-04 0.007344 0.018530 0.037233 0.067417 0.111662 0.171101 0.253826
2025-05-11 0.007320 0.018861 0.038368 0.070075 0.116790 0.179780 0.267701